Saturday, October 31, 2020

BIDEN AND BEYOND

This is an act of faith and an act of hope.

Faith in that fragile thing Alexis de Tocqueville called "Democracy in America".

And hope that a system structured more than two centuries ago for a different time and different place can rise to the occasion and self-correct in this time and this place.

On Tuesday, November 3, 2020, I will vote for Joe Biden for President.  I have voted in every election since 1976.  I mean all of them.  Off years, mid-terms, local, state and national.  

This, however, will be the most important vote I will ever cast.  

The Covid pandemic, which might have been avoided had the President read his intelligence briefings last December, and which certainly would have been significantly mitigated had an all hands on deck policy embracing masks, testing, quarantines and tracing been adopted early on, has killed over 230,000 Americans.  It has destroyed lives, families and whole communities.  Its economic consequences defy modeling.  The best picture of what is happening is not  a V, U or W.  It's a boomerang.  22.3 million jobs were lost by May.  9.3 million had been recovered by the end of September.  But a new Covid wave threatens to send us back to the future as we head toward winter.

Instead of combating the disease, President Trump politicized it.  Never before -- not with the 2009 swine flu pandemic or the 1918 flu epidemic or even AIDS -- has public health been turned into an overtly partisan issue.  

But Trump did it.

He couldn't help himself.  

He never can.

And it is killing more than those tragically falling to Covid.

It is killing American democracy.

It did not have to be this way.  After Trump surpised the world  -- and himself  --  by winning the Presidency, everyone was willing to give him a chance.  In spite of the lying, the "pussy grabbing", the obnoxiousness, the sheer lunacy of a mouth -- as often as not -- apparently disconnected from any functioning brain.  

In spite of it all.

In fact, in the aftermath of that surprise, Hillary Clinton gave voice to that willingness for all of us who had chosen her and rejected him.  The morning after the election she spoke to her own supporters. "We have seen that our nation is more deeply divided than we thought", she said, "But I still believe in America and always will.  And if you do, then we must accept this result and then look to the future.  Donald Trump is going to be our President.  We owe him an open mind and a chance to lead."   

Even then, the result was incongruous. Slivers of votes in the rural precincts of three rust belt states had sent the world and the country into a collective bout of "How the hell did that happen" and "What now?" The truth, however, was that Trump had hit a nerve.  The quarter-century, neo-liberal consensus that made economies global and elites rich contained one big flaw.  

Not everyone was being invited to the party.

And, like most who stand forever on the outside looking in, wondering why the cool kids do not want to hang with them, the outsiders were pissed.  They hadn't gotten a raise in thirty years.  Their jobs were being shipped overseas.  And they had nowhere to go.  For some, sorrow was bathed in addiction. For others, it was bathed in anger . . . 

At the PhDs who studied but never helped them.

The politicians who courted but never delivered for them.

And the elites who secretly despised them.

So they embraced Trump.

In truth, of course, Trump was one of the elites.  Indeed, one of the elitest of the elites -- private schools, inherited wealth, gold plated penthouses and trophy wives.  

But he didn't sound like an elite.  

He was ill-tempered and foul-mouthed.  He did not respect his political opponents.  He made fun of them.  He ranked them out.  He thought they were beneath contempt.  In truth, he thought they were all full of shit.

Which was pretty much what a lot of those white guys in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin thought as well.

So they gave him a chance.

And Hillary told the rest of us to give him a chance as well.

So we did too.

And he has blown it.

Every day and in every way.

He has blown it for those of us who do not count neo-Nazis or white supremacists as among the "fine people";  who do not think our government should separate asylum seeking parents from their children;  who do not want their President bribing a foreign leader to orchestrate a phony investigation into a political opponent; who understand alliances and common cause are the only way to preserve the peace and meet global challenges like climate change; who know the Civil War ended 155 years ago and civil rights are long overdue; and who realize that  truth is not optional and lying is not a measure of authenticity.  

But he has also blown it for the very people who put him over the top.  

Despite promising, he did not re-build America’s infrastructure.  His tax breaks for the rich did not trickle down and transform Appalachia, which still does not have enough broadband, and his tariffs have not resurrected American manufacturing or ended trade deficits.  Though his always-promised but never delivered health care plan does not exist, he is still in the Supreme Court trying to get Obamacare declared illegal.  And he may succeed.  Despite the opposition of more than half the country, he and Mitch McConnell have packed the Supreme Court with conservatives.  The pandemic has created 9.1 million Covid survivors, and in Trump's world, they are walking pre-existing conditions that insurers will not have to cover.

I am a life-long Democrat.  I have run for Congress as a Democrat and even served for a time as a member of the New York State Democratic committee.  Trump's supporters like their man because he gets in the face of people like me.  

But instead of liking him because he kicks my ass, maybe they should stop letting him kick their own.

Joe Biden is not perfect.

But he may be perfect for this time. 

He knows that Covid does not have an address or a political party.  He knows that progress on economic inequality is a matter of policies that increase wages, cover costs and generate growth.  Instead of outrage or the Trump-like empty promise of a "big" plan "next week" or "just after the election", he offers small bore incrementalism -- a $15 minimum wage, a public option added to Obamacare that increases the number of insured, ending the ban that stops Medicare from negotiating prescription drug prices with pharmaceutical companies.  It may not be fancy.  But it will work.

Biden has always been ambitious. 

But he has never been an elitist.  

Or a phony.

He does not have to tell us he feels our pain.

Because too often in his own life he has experienced it. 

America is at a crossroads.  

If Trump is re-elected, it will almost certainly be without a popular vote majority and possibly because he and the GOP have suppressed the vote and succeeded in making sure that some of it is not even counted.  They have enlisted an army of lawyers who stand ready to march into close states in an effort to stop any post-election day counts of mailed-in ballots.  Different states count different votes at different times.  Some are counting the early vote now.  Some aren't.  Some count the election day vote first.  And because Republicans have cast fewer early or mail-in votes than Democrats, at least one of Trump's long-term operatives, Steve Bannon, has said the President plans to declare victory on election night when he may be leading.

If this comes to pass, Americans should hit the streets.

Every vote must be counted.

And no winner should be declared until every vote is counted.

If anything other than that happens, American democracy dies.

Don't let it.









Friday, October 16, 2020

ALL OF THAT -- SUPERPRECEDENTS, SUPERHEROES, AND THE SUPREMES

The Senate Judiciary committee is about to approve along party lines the nomination of Judge Amy Coney Barret to the Supreme Court.  Once sent to the full Senate, probably before the presidential election that is mere weeks away and in which voting throughout the nation has in many places already begun, it will again be approved along party lines.  She will then be immediately sworn in and become the 115th person to sit on the Supreme Court  

Barrett, currently a judge on the US Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit, is what is generally referred to as an originalist and strict constructionist.  This means she claims to interpret the Constitution and its amendments as written and construed by the framers and believes it is illegitimate for unelected justices to impose their own policy or jurisprudential preferences on that document.   

It is widely expected -- and with more than reasonable basis -- that Barrett will vote to overturn Roe v. Wade, the Court's 1973 decision legalizing abortion.  She has written that Roe is not a "super-precedent", which is how originalists protect decisions -- like Brown v. Board of Education ---which originalism would otherwise preclude but they do not want to disturb (because they know that, in doing so, they'd kill their movement).  She also clerked for Justice Antonin Scalia -- the dean of originalists who opposed Roe -- and is one of his more aggressive admirers.  

In 2006, she actually signed on to a two-page ad sponsored by a group calling itself the Right to Life of St. Joseph County. The ad was run on the anniversary date of the Roe decision.  It opposed "abortion on demand" and supported "the right to life from fertilization to the end of natural life."  And since becoming a judge on the Seventh Circuit in November 2017, she has joined dissents upholding laws banning abortion for minors absent parental notification, banning abortions if they are pursued for particular reasons, and requiring the burial and cremation of fetal remains.

If, as is likely, Barrett votes to overturn Roe, it cannot be saved.  Justices Breyer, Sotomayor and Kagan will preserve the precedent but everyone else now on the Court is on record -- one way or the other -- as opposing it. Chief Justice Roberts, an institutionalist worried about a politicized Court, may attempt some triage in the form of declining to hear cases where the issue might arise or deferring to lower courts where possible, but even these tactics will have limited utility. Because, with Barrett on the Court, it will have six dyed-in-the-wool conservatives and originalists.  

Under the Supreme Court's rules, only four are required to accept a case and five can stay a lower court order.  

So, even if Roberts wanted to hit the brakes, he will not be driving the train anymore.

What will be lost when Roe is killed?

In the overheated and tribal world of today's American politics, what is at stake with the destruction of Roe is generally missed.   This is because, though everyone knows the headline result of the case, almost no one outside the academy has read the decision and even fewer understand the basis for the right to privacy on which it rests.

That's too bad.

Right wingers would have us believe that Roe was conjured out of thin air.  For decades, states had made abortion illegal, and though these acts of legislative fiat never killed the practice (and actually wound up killing many women), neither had the practice killed the laws.  Then, in a grand act of illegitimate judicial hubris, the Supreme Court upended it all.

This is the story they tell and have told for forty-six years.

And it is a lie.

Here are some facts.  

In the late 1960s and early 1970s, when Roe was litigated and making its way to the Supreme Court, a number of states were repealing their anti-abortion laws.  In 1970, New York made abortion legal through the twenty-fourth week of pregnancy. By 1971, Alaska, Washington and Hawaii had decriminalized early term abortions.  By the same time, thirteen other states permitted abortion if the mental or physical health of the mother was at risk.  Even Ronald Reagan, a conservative stalwart, signed into law California's bill doing so in 1967.  The trend was decidedly in the direction of abandoning criminalization as a policy.

Critics, including the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, think Roe short-circuited this trend by removing the issue from the political branches across the country and resolving it immediately and for everyone.  And they may be right. Roe single-handedly created the Right to Life movement and turbocharged strict constructionism on the bench and in the academy.  The opinion itself was also long, and in surveying the history of abortion the world over, summarizing the opposing medical and ethical views, and then fashioning its three-trimester rule where the scope of the right changed over time, it struck many as more akin to a statute than a Supreme Court decision. 

But, apart from the politics and the presentation, was Roe wrong as a matter of Constitutional law?

The answer is no.

The most important passage in Justice Blackmun's opinion in Roe occurred seventy-six pages into it.  There, Blackmun noted that, though "[t]he Constitution does not explicitly mention any right of privacy", the document makes no sense without it.  

He didn't say it that way.

But I have.  

Because what he did say -- in noting the "zones of privacy" the Court had by then found to exist as  a consequence of the First Amendment (guaranteeing free speech or none at all), the Fourth and Fifth Amendments (protecting against unreasonable searches and seizures, self-incrimination, and deprivations of liberty without due process), the Ninth Amendment (reserving unenumerated rights to the People), and the Fourteenth Amendment (which, for decades, had been held to protect fundamental rights with respect to marriage, education and child-rearing) -- made it clear that the document as a whole collapses without it.  

Put differently, there are certain rights inherent in being an individual, rights that exist regardless of the state and therefore only carefully and narrowly subject to regulation by it.  Jefferson eloquently said these were the self-evident rights of life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness.  To that, the less eloquent among us have added the equally important right . . .

To be left alone. 

Especially north of the knees and south of the navel.

And this, unfortunately, is what the strict constructionists and Judge (soon to be Justice) Amy Coney Barrett do not get.  

They think they can jettison Roe and the world will go confidently on its way. But it won't. Because once you have decided that the Constitution does not contain the right to privacy set out in Justice Blackmun's decision, a host of other questions arise, none of which have acceptable answers.  For example, if there is no right to privacy, is Griswold v. Connecticut -- the case holding that states could not make illegal the purchase of birth control because it violated the right to "marital privacy" -- still good law?  How about Loving v. Virginia, the case that declared anti-miscegenation statutes unconstitutional?  Or Frontiero v. Richardson, the case that overturned gender-based housing allowances in the military as violative of both the equal protection and due process clauses? Or Lawrence v. Texas, the 2003 decision holding anti-sodomy statutes uncontitutional?  Or Obergefell, the case that only recently held statutes forbidding gay or lesbian marriage unconstitutional? 

As with Roe, the Constitution did not mention any of the rights upheld in those cases either. Nor did any of the framers -- either in 1787 when the Constitution and Bill of Rights were written or in 1868 when the Fourteenth Amendment was passed -- have any of these subjects in mind when they put pen to paper and created the foundational documents.

And it gets even worse.

Originalists like Judge Barrett take refuge in the notion of so-called "super precedents".  These are decisions from the Supreme Court ostensibly so accepted that they will never be overturned regardless of their unsteady moorings in the originalist version of what the Constitution requires or protects.  According to Judge (soon to be Justice) Barrett, the usual suspects for this protective shield are two opinions from the Marshall Court in the early 1800s -- Marbury v. Madison, which announced the principle of judicial review, and Martin v. Hunter's Lessee, allowing federal judicial review of state court judgments; Helvering v. Davis, upholding the Social Security Act; the Legal Tender Cases, which made government-issued paper money constitutional; Mapp v. Ohio, which made the Fourth Amendment's ban un unreasonable searches and seizures applicable to the states;  Brown v. Board of  Education, which held segregated schools unconstitutional; and the Civil Rights Cases, which held the Fourteenth Amendment applicable only to state action.  

None of this, however, is true.

There is no statute, legal principle or Supreme Court authority that in any way supports the view that there are any cases known as "superprecedents."  The term was invented by a couple of law professors in the 1970s and then promptly went into hibernation until 2005, when Sen. Specter tossed it to John Roberts as a sort of life line in the latter's confirmation hearings. Like other conservatives, Roberts fashions himself an originalist.  For him, Supreme Court justices are umpires calling balls and strikes, not players in the game.  They get to apply the Constitution as written and as understood when it was written.  Unfortunately for him, when the Fourteenth Amendment's equal protection and due process clauses were added to the Constitution, no one thought that either of them forbade segregation in public schools or in any other accommodations.  

Which created a problem.

For originalists.

Who knew their interpretive scheme would die if it killed Brown.

So conservative legal scholars invented the deus ex machina  of "superprecedents", a sort of jurisprudential  Batman and Robin that protects originalists from . . . 

Themselves.

Since then, others have jumped on the superprecedents train, Judge (soon to be Justice) Barrett among them.  

And her view exposed the whole notion for the canard it always was.  

Super precedents, she noted in a 2013 law review article, were "cases that no justice would overrule, even if she disagrees with the interpretive premise from which the precedent proceeds."  She then explained how an opinion became one: "The force of so-called superprecedents  . . . does not derive from any decision by the Court about the degree of deference they warrant . . . The force of these cases derives from the people, who have taken their validity off the Court's agenda. Litigants do not challenge them.  If they did, no inferior or state court would take them seriously, at least in the absence of indicia that the broad consensus supporting a precedent was crumbling.   When the status of a superprecedent is secure -- e.g., the constitutionality of paper money -- a lawsuit implicating its validity is unlikely to survive a motion to dismiss.  And without disagreement below, the issue is unlikely to make it onto the Court's agenda." 

This, however, creates more problems than it solves.  

If superprecedent status is simply a matter of public acceptance, what is the status of a Court decision before it reaches that point?  Brown was widely disparaged throughout the south when it was initially decided and school desegregation was not fully enforced there until well into the Nixon administration more than fifteen years later.  Could the decision have been overturned during that period but not thereafter?  Is the reverse true as well?  According to Barrett,  once a decision is not widely accepted, it becomes fair game.  

None of this justifies originalism.  Indeed, to the contrary, the whole notion makes a mockery of originalism's  interpretive commitment because it ties the legitimacy of the Court's opinions not to the Constitution's text or the meaning assigned to that text by its drafters but rather to the whims of public opinion.  

For years, conservatives complained that justices should not be acting like legislators. 

Now they are telling them to act like pollsters.

At her confirmation hearings this week, Judge Barret was careful in claiming that Roe is not a superprecedent.  Neither, apparently, are GriswoldLoving, Frontiero, Lawrence or Obergefell. But why not?  If you surveyed Americans today, you'd get super-majorities opposing any effort by legislators to ban condoms.  You'd probably get close to that if you suggested bans on interracial marriage, and even though gay rights and gay marriage as constitutional rights are relatively recent phenomena, significant majorities support them as well.  Ditto for opposition to gender-based discrimination on statutory benefits. Even with Roe, a solid majority of American do not want to ban abortion other than in cases where the mother’s life is endangered.  But once (not if) Roe is overturned, snap back and trigger laws throughout the country will make that the law of the land in almost half the states. 

At the hearings this week, Barrett appeared to depart slightly from the position taken in her 2013 article. In response to questions, she testified that "Roe is not a superprecedent because calls for its overruling have never ceased." Presumably, this saves Griswold and Loving. But not Roe or Lawrence  or  Obergefell.  Even though all of them are premised in whole or part on the right of privacy.

In truth, however, it saves nothing.

Privacy is not a whim.

It's a right.

There is nothing super about Constitutional protections that live or die on the basis of public acceptance.  The whole purpose of the Bill of Rights is to protect minorities from majorities and the whole point of judicial review is to enforce those rights even when majorities do not want to and even after "calls for . . . overruling" them have not ceased.  And in times, like these, of division and populist outrage, those protections become even more important. 

Public opinion is malleable. 

It can be ephemeral.  

And as has been proven in the wake of the election in 2016, it can also be dangerous.

We live in an era of populist outrage.  White grievance has metastasized, public health has been politicized, and even the lives of public officials have been jeopardized.  Originalism created none of that.  But if, as is likely, it takes hold of the Court, it could cripple an institution that might otherwise invoke -- to echo Lincoln -- the better angels of our nature. Now is not the time to embrace the fiction of superprecedents because we are unwilling to reject the farce of originalism.  

The Constitution was never set in stone.  It was written by lawyers steeped in common law.  They used words like "due process" and "equal protection", the meanings of which were not fixed then, had not been fixed before, and were not expected to be fixed in the future.  They expected judges to be jurists, to mine the inheritance of common law in an effort to divine principles that could guide an ever-changing world.  They did not expect them to be legislators, engaged in the rough and tumble of every day politics, with the trade-offs and compromises that entails and the squared circles it often creates.  But they also did not expect them to be pollsters or the tools of aggressive litigants.

They thought judges should be better than . . .

All of that.

So, Judge (soon to be Justice) Barrett, if you can . . .

Be better.

If you can't . . .

Be quiet.